Süper Lig · Matchweek 8
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kasımpaşa41%
Draw29%
Samsunspor30%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.13
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–09.6%
- 0–19.5%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Samsunspor will have the ball; Kasımpaşa will not mind.
46%Possession58%
28%Territory40%
22%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.7%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kasımpaşa, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.