Süper Lig · Matchweek 7
Beşiktaş
BEI
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beşiktaş63%
Draw23%
Kocaelispor14%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.73
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.0%
- 2–012.7%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Beşiktaş will have the ball; Kocaelispor will not mind.
58%Possession47%
43%Territory38%
22%From set plays14%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Beşiktaş, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.