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Süper Lig · Matchweek 7

Galatasaray

GAL

Kasımpaşa

KAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Galatasaray68%
Draw20%
Kasımpaşa13%

Expected goals

2.17 – 0.86

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2011.4%
  • 1011.1%
  • 219.8%
  • 118.9%
  • 307.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Galatasaray will have the ball; Kasımpaşa will not mind.

60%Possession46%
45%Territory28%
32%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Galatasaray, 3 for Kasımpaşa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.