Süper Lig · Matchweek 7
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Amed Sportif
AME
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gençlerbirliği28%
Draw26%
Amed Sportif46%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.58
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession47%
41%Territory33%
43%From set plays37%
0.06Chance quality0.14
9.1%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gençlerbirliği, 3 for Amed Sportif. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gençlerbirliği
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.