Süper Lig · Matchweek 7
Rizespor
RIZ
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rizespor27%
Draw26%
Fenerbahçe48%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.64
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.6%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fenerbahçe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession53%
38%Territory35%
11%From set plays28%
0.14Chance quality0.09
7.7%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rizespor, 3 for Fenerbahçe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.