Süper Lig · Matchweek 6
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Erzurumspor FK30%
Draw28%
Samsunspor42%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.43
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Samsunspor will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.
38%Possession58%
32%Territory40%
36%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.08
8.2%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.