Süper Lig · Matchweek 6
Kocaelispor
KOC
Gaziantep FK
GAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kocaelispor42%
Draw30%
Gaziantep FK28%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.03
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.9%
- 0–011.1%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Gaziantep FK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession47%
38%Territory36%
14%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.3%Directness8.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kocaelispor, 3 for Gaziantep FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.