Süper Lig · Matchweek 6
Fenerbahçe
FEN
Eyüpspor
EYP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fenerbahçe70%
Draw19%
Eyüpspor11%
Expected goals
2.18 – 0.76
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.7%
- 1–012.2%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.8%
- 1–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession51%
35%Territory38%
28%From set plays42%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fenerbahçe, 3 for Eyüpspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.