Süper Lig · Matchweek 6
Çorum FK
ORU
Alanyaspor
ALA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Çorum FK39%
Draw27%
Alanyaspor34%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.35
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Alanyaspor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession46%
33%Territory37%
1%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.14
6.2%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Çorum FK, 3 for Alanyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.