Süper Lig · Matchweek 6
Başakşehir
BAA
Gençlerbirliği
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Başakşehir53%
Draw24%
Gençlerbirliği23%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.16
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Başakşehir will have the ball; Gençlerbirliği will not mind.
56%Possession46%
36%Territory41%
15%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.06
8.3%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Başakşehir, 3 for Gençlerbirliği. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Başakşehir
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.