Süper Lig · Matchweek 6
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Konyaspor
KON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kasımpaşa40%
Draw30%
Konyaspor30%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.08
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession46%
28%Territory37%
22%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness10.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kasımpaşa, 3 for Konyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.