Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Benfica
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães27%
Draw26%
Benfica47%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.62
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.5%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession65%
42%Territory46%
28%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.07
6.2%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Vitória de Guimarães, 2 for Benfica. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
Benfica
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.