Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25
Gil Vicente
GIL
Moreirense
MOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente50%
Draw28%
Moreirense22%
Expected goals
1.48 – 0.91
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–010.3%
- 2–09.6%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession48%
31%Territory30%
14%From set plays11%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gil Vicente, 2 for Moreirense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.