Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25
FC Porto
FCP
Marítimo
MAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Porto82%
Draw13%
Marítimo5%
Expected goals
2.58 – 0.51
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
37%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–015.3%
- 3–012.8%
- 1–012.2%
- 4–08.1%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
62%Possession48%
51%Territory31%
12%From set plays56%
0.11Chance quality0.09
3.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Porto, 2 for Marítimo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Marítimo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.