Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25
Santa Clara
SAN
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santa Clara63%
Draw23%
Casa Pia AC14%
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.78
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.0%
- 2–012.2%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession41%
33%Territory41%
27%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Santa Clara, 2 for Casa Pia AC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.