Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25
Estoril
ESO
Académico Viseu
ACA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estoril38%
Draw26%
Académico Viseu36%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.45
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession37%
33%Territory29%
9%From set plays14%
0.08Chance quality0.08
5.6%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Estoril, 2 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Estoril
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.