Liga Portugal · Matchweek 24
Moreirense
MOR
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Moreirense30%
Draw28%
Vitória de Guimarães42%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.39
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–09.2%
- 0–09.1%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession57%
30%Territory42%
11%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.2%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Moreirense, 1 for Vitória de Guimarães. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.