Liga Portugal · Matchweek 24
Braga
BRA
Santa Clara
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Braga54%
Draw27%
Santa Clara19%
Expected goals
1.58 – 0.87
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–010.4%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession44%
54%Territory33%
36%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.10
2.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Braga, 2 for Santa Clara. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.