Liga Portugal · Matchweek 24
Benfica
BEN
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica26%
Draw28%
FC Porto46%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.45
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–112.3%
- 0–09.3%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
61%Possession62%
36%Territory51%
18%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.11
3.1%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Benfica, 2 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.