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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 24

Académico Viseu

ACA

Estrela da Amadora

EST

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu36%
Draw28%
Estrela da Amadora36%

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.33

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 0–08.3%
  • 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession55%
29%Territory39%
14%From set plays28%
0.08Chance quality0.08
7.1%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Académico Viseu, 2 for Estrela da Amadora. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.