Liga Portugal · Matchweek 24
Rio Ave
RIO
Alverca
ALV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rio Ave26%
Draw27%
Alverca47%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.58
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.9%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession33%
36%Territory24%
13%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.13
2.6%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Rio Ave, 2 for Alverca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.