Liga Portugal · Matchweek 23
Marítimo
MAR
Moreirense
MOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marítimo39%
Draw28%
Moreirense33%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.29
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession48%
31%Territory30%
56%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Marítimo, 2 for Moreirense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Marítimo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.