Liga Portugal · Matchweek 23
Sporting CP
SCP
Famalicão
FAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP74%
Draw17%
Famalicão9%
Expected goals
2.29 – 0.70
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.3%
- 1–012.0%
- 3–09.7%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession49%
52%Territory25%
10%From set plays46%
0.10Chance quality0.07
4.4%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting CP, 3 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.