Liga Portugal · Matchweek 23
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Académico Viseu
ACA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães57%
Draw25%
Académico Viseu18%
Expected goals
1.73 – 0.91
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.9%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession37%
42%Territory29%
16%From set plays14%
0.12Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Vitória de Guimarães, 2 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.