Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22
Rio Ave
RIO
Santa Clara
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rio Ave17%
Draw26%
Santa Clara57%
Expected goals
0.81 – 1.62
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.8%
- 1–111.5%
- 0–211.3%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–29.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Santa Clara will have the ball; Rio Ave will not mind.
39%Possession48%
29%Territory32%
27%From set plays14%
0.08Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rio Ave, 3 for Santa Clara. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Santa Clara
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.