Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22
Moreirense
MOR
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Moreirense9%
Draw17%
FC Porto75%
Expected goals
0.71 – 2.35
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–213.1%
- 0–111.6%
- 0–39.9%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Porto will have the ball; Moreirense will not mind.
33%Possession59%
23%Territory39%
37%From set plays37%
0.11Chance quality0.20
6.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Moreirense, 3 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Moreirense
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.