Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22
Benfica
BEN
Marítimo
MAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica84%
Draw11%
Marítimo5%
Expected goals
2.87 – 0.62
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.8%
- 3–012.0%
- 1–09.2%
- 4–08.4%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benfica will have the ball; Marítimo will not mind.
66%Possession50%
52%Territory28%
30%From set plays67%
0.13Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benfica, 3 for Marítimo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.