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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22

Académico Viseu

ACA

Gil Vicente

GIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu28%
Draw30%
Gil Vicente42%

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.29

Over 2.5

41%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–113.0%
  • 0–011.1%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession41%
29%Territory31%
14%From set plays14%
0.08Chance quality0.10
7.1%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Académico Viseu, 2 for Gil Vicente. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Gil Vicente

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.