Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22
Académico Viseu
ACA
Gil Vicente
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Académico Viseu26%
Draw28%
Gil Vicente46%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.44
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–112.6%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession47%
24%Territory35%
17%From set plays10%
0.11Chance quality0.14
8.3%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Académico Viseu, 3 for Gil Vicente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Académico Viseu
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.