Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22
Arouca
ARO
Estoril
ESO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arouca47%
Draw27%
Estoril26%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.12
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arouca will have the ball; Estoril will not mind.
56%Possession41%
43%Territory30%
6%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.07
3.8%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arouca, 3 for Estoril. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arouca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.