Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22
Famalicão
FAM
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Famalicão44%
Draw28%
Estrela da Amadora28%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.10
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession55%
25%Territory39%
46%From set plays28%
0.07Chance quality0.08
5.1%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Famalicão, 2 for Estrela da Amadora. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
Estrela da Amadora
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.