Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22
Famalicão
FAM
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Famalicão46%
Draw28%
Estrela da Amadora26%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.06
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–012.1%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–09.0%
- 0–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Famalicão get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession47%
38%Territory35%
43%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Famalicão, 4 for Estrela da Amadora. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.