Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21
Sporting CP
SCP
Rio Ave
RIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP85%
Draw11%
Rio Ave4%
Expected goals
2.95 – 0.60
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.9%
- 3–012.4%
- 1–08.9%
- 4–08.9%
- 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession57%
52%Territory36%
10%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness2.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sporting CP, 2 for Rio Ave. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.