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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21

Sporting CP

SCP

Rio Ave

RIO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sporting CP88%
Draw9%
Rio Ave3%

Expected goals

3.13 – 0.53

Over 2.5

70%

Both to score

39%

Fair handicap

-2.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 3013.3%
  • 2013.0%
  • 4010.2%
  • 108.5%
  • 317.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sporting CP will have the ball; Rio Ave will not mind.

66%Possession39%
46%Territory29%
6%From set plays27%
0.14Chance quality0.08
3.9%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting CP, 3 for Rio Ave. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.