Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21
Gil Vicente
GIL
Famalicão
FAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente44%
Draw30%
Famalicão26%
Expected goals
1.27 – 0.94
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–012.3%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession49%
31%Territory25%
14%From set plays46%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.2%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gil Vicente, 3 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Famalicão
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.