Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21
Gil Vicente
GIL
Famalicão
FAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente40%
Draw32%
Famalicão28%
Expected goals
1.15 – 0.92
Over 2.5
34%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.6%
- 0–014.1%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–111.5%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Famalicão get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession49%
35%Territory38%
10%From set plays43%
0.14Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gil Vicente, 3 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.