Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21
Moreirense
MOR
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Moreirense58%
Draw24%
Casa Pia AC18%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.92
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.5%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession41%
30%Territory41%
11%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.07
4.2%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Moreirense, 2 for Casa Pia AC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.