Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21
Moreirense
MOR
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Moreirense49%
Draw27%
Casa Pia AC24%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.03
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.7%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Casa Pia AC will have the ball; Moreirense will not mind.
33%Possession42%
23%Territory42%
37%From set plays52%
0.11Chance quality0.06
6.0%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Moreirense, 3 for Casa Pia AC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Moreirense
Casa Pia AC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.