Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Braga
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães33%
Draw29%
Braga37%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.25
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–010.1%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession63%
42%Territory54%
16%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Vitória de Guimarães, 3 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.