Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21
Santa Clara
SAN
Alverca
ALV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santa Clara60%
Draw24%
Alverca16%
Expected goals
1.75 – 0.80
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Alverca get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession42%
32%Territory32%
14%From set plays37%
0.13Chance quality0.14
6.7%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santa Clara, 3 for Alverca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Santa Clara
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.