Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21
FC Porto
FCP
Académico Viseu
ACA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Porto81%
Draw14%
Académico Viseu5%
Expected goals
2.48 – 0.49
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
36%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–015.9%
- 1–013.1%
- 3–012.8%
- 4–07.8%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
62%Possession37%
51%Territory29%
12%From set plays14%
0.11Chance quality0.08
3.4%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Porto, 2 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.