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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21

FC Porto

FCP

Académico Viseu

ACA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Porto82%
Draw13%
Académico Viseu5%

Expected goals

2.73 – 0.62

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

-2.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–013.4%
  • 3–011.8%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 4–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Porto will have the ball; Académico Viseu will not mind.

59%Possession47%
39%Territory24%
37%From set plays17%
0.20Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Porto, 3 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.