Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20
Nacional
NAC
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nacional31%
Draw27%
Vitória de Guimarães42%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.46
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.5%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vitória de Guimarães will have the ball; Nacional will not mind.
47%Possession58%
29%Territory40%
23%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.9%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nacional, 3 for Vitória de Guimarães. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.