Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20
Alverca
ALV
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alverca9%
Draw17%
Sporting CP75%
Expected goals
0.74 – 2.39
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.6%
- 0–111.0%
- 0–39.7%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sporting CP will have the ball; Alverca will not mind.
42%Possession66%
32%Territory46%
37%From set plays6%
0.14Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alverca, 3 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting CP
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.