Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20
Alverca
ALV
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alverca9%
Draw17%
Sporting CP74%
Expected goals
0.72 – 2.31
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–213.0%
- 0–111.7%
- 0–39.6%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
32%Possession63%
24%Territory52%
59%From set plays10%
0.06Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Alverca, 2 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Alverca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.