Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20
Famalicão
FAM
Santa Clara
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Famalicão47%
Draw30%
Santa Clara23%
Expected goals
1.33 – 0.88
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.9%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–012.2%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession44%
18%Territory33%
43%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Famalicão, 2 for Santa Clara. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.