Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20
Arouca
ARO
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arouca13%
Draw21%
FC Porto66%
Expected goals
0.81 – 1.99
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.7%
- 0–212.0%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.7%
- 0–37.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Porto get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession59%
43%Territory39%
6%From set plays37%
0.09Chance quality0.20
3.8%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arouca, 3 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arouca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.