Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20
Académico Viseu
ACA
Marítimo
MAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Académico Viseu42%
Draw28%
Marítimo31%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.22
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession48%
29%Territory31%
14%From set plays56%
0.08Chance quality0.09
7.1%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Académico Viseu, 2 for Marítimo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Académico Viseu
Marítimo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.