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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20

Académico Viseu

ACA

Marítimo

MAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu42%
Draw28%
Marítimo31%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.22

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession48%
29%Territory31%
14%From set plays56%
0.08Chance quality0.09
7.1%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Académico Viseu, 2 for Marítimo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Marítimo

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.