Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Gil Vicente
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Casa Pia AC19%
Draw27%
Gil Vicente55%
Expected goals
0.82 – 1.55
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.9%
- 1–111.8%
- 0–210.8%
- 0–010.3%
- 1–29.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Casa Pia AC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession47%
42%Territory35%
52%From set plays10%
0.06Chance quality0.14
6.5%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Casa Pia AC, 3 for Gil Vicente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Casa Pia AC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.