Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Gil Vicente
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Casa Pia AC19%
Draw27%
Gil Vicente55%
Expected goals
0.83 – 1.57
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.7%
- 1–111.8%
- 0–210.8%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–29.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession41%
41%Territory31%
24%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Casa Pia AC, 2 for Gil Vicente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Casa Pia AC
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 13 of 88 matches, not the full season.