Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20
Braga
BRA
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Braga61%
Draw22%
Estrela da Amadora18%
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.03
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.2%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.9%
- 2–09.7%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Braga will have the ball; Estrela da Amadora will not mind.
61%Possession47%
49%Territory35%
23%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.09
3.1%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Braga, 4 for Estrela da Amadora.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.