Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães14%
Draw22%
Sporting CP64%
Expected goals
0.81 – 1.95
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.9%
- 0–211.9%
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–37.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vitória de Guimarães get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
58%Possession66%
40%Territory46%
26%From set plays6%
0.08Chance quality0.14
5.9%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória de Guimarães, 3 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Sporting CP
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.