Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães19%
Draw24%
Sporting CP57%
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.79
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.1%
- 1–111.0%
- 0–210.1%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession63%
42%Territory52%
16%From set plays10%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Vitória de Guimarães, 2 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.