Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
FC Porto
FCP
Rio Ave
RIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Porto85%
Draw11%
Rio Ave4%
Expected goals
2.88 – 0.55
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
40%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.7%
- 3–012.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 4–09.1%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Porto will have the ball; Rio Ave will not mind.
59%Possession39%
39%Territory29%
37%From set plays27%
0.20Chance quality0.08
4.9%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Porto, 3 for Rio Ave. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.