Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
FC Porto
FCP
Rio Ave
RIO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Porto84%
Draw12%
Rio Ave4%
Expected goals
2.64 – 0.45
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
34%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–016.0%
- 3–013.8%
- 1–012.4%
- 4–08.9%
- 2–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
62%Possession57%
51%Territory36%
12%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.09
3.4%Directness2.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Porto, 2 for Rio Ave. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Rio Ave
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.