Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
Marítimo
MAR
Famalicão
FAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marítimo26%
Draw30%
Famalicão44%
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.30
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.9%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–011.7%
- 1–09.9%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Marítimo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession49%
28%Territory38%
67%From set plays43%
0.08Chance quality0.08
7.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Marítimo, 3 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.