Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
Benfica
BEN
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica85%
Draw11%
Casa Pia AC5%
Expected goals
3.04 – 0.66
Over 2.5
71%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.8%
- 3–011.6%
- 4–08.6%
- 1–08.0%
- 3–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
61%Possession41%
36%Territory41%
18%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.07
3.1%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Benfica, 2 for Casa Pia AC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.