Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
Benfica
BEN
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica89%
Draw8%
Casa Pia AC3%
Expected goals
3.20 – 0.52
Over 2.5
71%
Both to score
39%
Fair handicap
-2.50
Most likely scorelines
- 3–013.4%
- 2–012.8%
- 4–010.5%
- 1–08.2%
- 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benfica will have the ball; Casa Pia AC will not mind.
66%Possession42%
52%Territory42%
30%From set plays52%
0.13Chance quality0.06
4.8%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benfica, 3 for Casa Pia AC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
Casa Pia AC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.