Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
Gil Vicente
GIL
Braga
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente31%
Draw31%
Braga38%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.19
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 0–112.8%
- 0–012.0%
- 1–011.1%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession63%
31%Territory54%
14%From set plays36%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gil Vicente, 3 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.