Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
Gil Vicente
GIL
Braga
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente31%
Draw30%
Braga39%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.27
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–112.0%
- 0–010.6%
- 1–010.4%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Braga will have the ball; Gil Vicente will not mind.
47%Possession61%
35%Territory49%
10%From set plays23%
0.14Chance quality0.10
4.7%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gil Vicente, 4 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.