Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
Moreirense
MOR
Arouca
ARO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Moreirense32%
Draw28%
Arouca40%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.42
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arouca will have the ball; Moreirense will not mind.
33%Possession56%
23%Territory43%
37%From set plays6%
0.11Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Moreirense, 3 for Arouca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Moreirense
Arouca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.