Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
Santa Clara
SAN
Académico Viseu
ACA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santa Clara50%
Draw27%
Académico Viseu23%
Expected goals
1.51 – 0.96
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.3%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–09.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession37%
33%Territory29%
27%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.6%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Santa Clara, 2 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.