Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19
Santa Clara
SAN
Académico Viseu
ACA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santa Clara63%
Draw23%
Académico Viseu14%
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.76
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 2–012.4%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession47%
32%Territory24%
14%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santa Clara, 3 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Santa Clara
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Académico Viseu
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.